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PUBG Survivor and Wanderer Crate Drop Rate Estimates

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After a lot of data collection, I have come up with what I believe to be good estimates of what the % drop rates are for the various rarity categories for the Wanderer and Survivor Crates in PUBG. I do not think this is a perfect analysis, but I believe it is a good starting point until PLAYERUNKNOWN himself releases the actual drop rates. PUBG Item Survey https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfYZrbRNF5je4U8RaCFG3SqTvQAG-NM9yTClXefFDvTLnezQw/viewform?fbzx=8319201880233089000 Read the full explanation here: http://wikigameguides.com/1739-pubg-survivor-and-wanderer-crate-drop-rate-estimates Subscribe to WikiGameGuides ► http://wgg.mobi/subscribe WGG on Twitch ► http://www.twitch.tv/wikigameguides Support WGG with our Amazon link! ► http://amzn.to/2fdSfSM
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Text Comments (45)
Max Gaming Fortnite (8 days ago)
I just got a miniskirt on mobile
Brimstone (2 months ago)
Played the game for 800h. Never got anything good from them. Not once and i need some hard proof from someone to prove me that you actually can get something decent.
Napster Channel (2 months ago)
What is "AVERAGE" section
Phi6er (3 months ago)
3:03 That assumption is ridiculous. Your numbers are all over the place.
Thomas Leduc (4 months ago)
after 170 hours, I opened a blue mini skirt today from the wanderer crate I feel pretty lucky lmao!
SkyPulseGames (4 months ago)
NO way dog. I’ve opened 37 crates and haven’t gotten a single, A SINGLE thing above gray
Lance Boydy (5 months ago)
Bulltshit, 250 hours and Ive only received grey items
Sam Walker (2 months ago)
Lance Boydy I have over 500 hours and I have only received grey’s
Taekinyo (3 months ago)
370 hours. Only things non-grey, I've bought. Fuck this game and it's drop systems
Lance Boydy (4 months ago)
Wowzers, let me know if you want to trade it for a few pairs of working boots
Thomas Leduc (4 months ago)
170hrs and I jsut opened blue mini skirt today *shrugs*
Quinten Saija (4 months ago)
better of selling them cases
Benjamin Melanson (5 months ago)
All of these crates are a cash grab and they have the shittiest rng even compared to WoW. I opened over 1k of these crates, recieved 3 greens, the rest greys. This is not only a waste of time but a waste of fucking money. I just wanted the supremo emo trench coat ffs.
PUBG is O.K. (5 months ago)
Unboxed 120+ crates... ahaha best thing i got was worth 2 fucking dollars. I unboxed like every fucking crate
Rayner Wong (5 months ago)
Come out with guides to tell us if opening crate or selling them gives the highest expected return .
TrulyTrippin (6 months ago)
@Wikigameguides looking at the market about 2 months later on the 2 skins you said to invest in back in Aug you were dead on.
Jeff Asper (6 months ago)
i love white people they are so smart
packlesswolf1 (1 month ago)
Jeff Asper nah I'm pretty dumb lol
Yormuth (7 months ago)
It's not true. The percentage of grey items compared to the percentage of green items is much MUCH higher. People recycle grey items more often.
Benjamin Melanson (5 months ago)
how do you recycle grey items??
ETERNAL FART (7 months ago)
These odds are way off. I opened at least 200 of these shit crates and got 1 blue and 1 green. Rest were grey. Open gamescom crates. I got 3 black skirts out of 50 crates plus a ton of blues and purples.
himanshu modak (3 months ago)
I opened 9 Wanderer Case I got School Shirt(Open) Rest were grey.
Shawn Gannaway (4 months ago)
i got 3 trenchcoats out of the survivor crate and i got that one mask out of the wanderer
Aidas Adomaitis (5 months ago)
I opened about 10 weekly chests and got a blue skirt worth 150eur
Ozone (6 months ago)
I opened 26 crates and got 2 greens :)
ETERNAL FART (6 months ago)
fongfongy yes you can make insane money but only on gamescom. Dont buy the others.
Evo Beasty (7 months ago)
so i was thinking of putting £24 onto my steam because i want to get a Coat (any colour) would it be best to just buy one for £24 or open like 20+ cases?
alchemist (6 months ago)
100% would be better to buy the coat. According to this video, the coat (either one) has roughly a .5% drop rate. You could purchase about 30 or so cases, but the odds aren't very good that you will get it. Just buy it if you want it.
MN Schlatz (6 months ago)
depends on if you play the game enough to open 20+ cases without getting annoyed at getting pretty much nothing
Hanksman (7 months ago)
So, can you get these valuable items from wanderer/survivor crates? If you are very, very, very lucky?
alchemist (6 months ago)
Yes. The rarest ones with an insanely low drop rate (skirt) are worth about $180.
Chris Pope (8 months ago)
Awesome share, thanks for doing this! One small comment, there are actually 2 shades (rarities) of grey, but your analysis combines them into 1 category. Check the image a little closer and you'll see 2 shades of grey. I think we see this reflected in your data. In the Wanderer Crate's pants vs. shirts for example; the pants are in the more rare "light grey" rarity while the shirts are all in the "dark grey" rarity and their occurrence are very different in your data. I'm guessing its something closer to 75% chance for dark grey and 15% chance for light grey. Unsure why the pants are so rare, possibly has to do with people not wanting to sell them.
WikiGameGuides (8 months ago)
Interesting observation, those two shades of gray are so damn similar.
sloop (8 months ago)
Man, listening to this was a treat. I thought about deducing the drop rates using the same method, but decided to youtube it first and stumbled across this. Liked/Subbed. Good catch on the shirts and masks, but damn you for telling the public.. those are really the only ones that look worth investing in at this point though, and the price is *already* getting high.
RandomFinn (8 months ago)
The data from the survey will not be very useful since you can fill in just one box opening at a time. It would be better if you could chose multiple choices and give the amount of items as a number. The amount of boxes opened should also be given. Then you could take the file as an excel and easily calculate the totals and averages for each item category.
LionHeart Games (8 months ago)
I created my channel because of you WikiGameGuides. I LOVE your channel cause you help me a lot in the Surge. So, thanks bro! And here's my like.

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